This will be another lengthy post but it's important information as we are beginning to see agreement in the models on some aspects of this storm.
I'll start by saying that while model agreement is starting to gel, it's still early and I would not be surprised to see changes before the storm's arrival this weekend.
Latest Model Guidance on Snowfall for Colorado Front Range
Please keep in mind, the above are model predictions and not quite yet official forecasts. So while we are seeing agreement, this information should still be taken with a grain of salt.
Preparation/ Possible Impacts
This storm is still not a guarantee, but should it verify folks living especially in areas South of Denver along the Palmer Divide would do best to begin making some preparations for this storm.
A Winter Storm Warning is in Effect for Western Douglas County. This Warning Does Not Include Castle Rock or the Palmer Divide at this time. We will update if this changes.
- Timing of this storm is still tricky so I won't detail that just yet, but expect a prolonged period of snowfall this weekend
- Travel may become tricky especially in the higher elevations of Douglas and El Paso Counties
- The area between Castle Rock and Monument looks particularly concerning as of these model runs
- This snowfall will be heavy in terms of weight, expect damage to trees and power lines where the heavier stuff accumulates
- If you've turned sprinklers on, may be a good idea to at least drain them
- If you need to go to the grocery store, probably a good idea. If you have enough food to last through Monday you probably don't need to rush the store. I imagine folks will still be getting around just fine Saturday morning so a store visit can wait till Friday or early Saturday if needed.
- Power outages will be possible, so keep that in mind.
This storm is in no way a sure thing yet, so don't take my advice above as the sky is falling. That being said, models are locking onto this a bit and it is a good time to start preparing in case this storm does turn out to be a big snow maker.
A lot can still change and there is still plenty of time. I've seen storms like this in the past absolutely dump on us and also completely dissipate and leave us with nothing; with no hint from the models until a couple hours before the storm actually arrives. You'll remember the models didn't see the blizzard coming in March until about midnight the day the storm arrived.
My advice, keep a close eye on the weather in the next day or two. Dust off the snowblower, make sure you have some food (hit the store before the media hype begins if you can and folks clear the place out.) If nothing happens at least you won't have to make a shopping trip next week. Have some good indoor activities for the family and if you have travel plans keep a very close eye on road/airport conditions.
As things begin to move quicker now, expect more updates throughout the day from me now. I've been doing one post a day so far as not much has changed but expect at least 2-3 or more each day starting today if things begin to change in the modeling or forecast. Thanks for sticking with us and stay tuned!