Advertisements

Welcome! Here you can find more detailed information on the blogs and posts we regularly add to the website. Everything from recent storm discussions, weather alerts and warnings and storm recaps are detailed in this area.

Latest Weather and Storm Discussion

2 Wave Storm System Brings Snow Back to the Area – Forecast Valid 2-8-2024 9PM

  Winter Weather Highlights *Winter Storm Watch Issued* Includes I-25 corridor from Colorado/Wyoming border South to Monument and Palmer Lake, Metro Denver, Central East Colorado, Douglas County along the Palmer Divide and Elbert County locations along the Palmer...

Weekend Snow Storm Update – Valid 2/3/2024 11AM

The storm is behaving largely as expected to this point so no major changes from a forecast perspective. I did tweak a bit of the snowfall forecast to be more in line with thinking after more model data and seeing some of the early storm evolution. Other than that,...

An In Depth Look at This Weekend’s Storm – And Why It’s Proving to be a Very Difficult Forecast

Forecasting a specific weather event is akin to looking at a machine with 100 different levers and trying to figure out exactly what position those levers will be in at a certain date and time. As the forecast evolves, levers move up and down, and in turn effect other...

Potential Large Storm System This Weekend – Update – Forecast Valid 02-01-2024 7AM

What we have on tap this weekend is one of the more difficult forecasts I've made in awhile. Why? Mainly because there are so many moving parts with this thing, and all of them have to come together perfectly for this storm to end up on the high end in terms of snow...

Late Sunday/ Monday Storm System Could Bring Blizzard Conditions – Valid 01-070-2024 11AM

Lots of similarities with this storm and our last, Blizzard conditions with strong winds and falling snow are possible - but the impacts look greatest East and Southeast of the I-25 corridor. Suffice to say, the closer you are to I-25 and Westward, you may see the...

Latest Look at Christmas Eve Storm System – Valid 12-23-2023 11AM

Our complex storm system continues to slowly creep its way towards the state. The main low pressure system is currently swirling into Western New Mexico and beginning its turn to the Northeast. Meanwhile the northern storm system responsible for our cold air is...

Christmas Storm Update – Timing, Impacts and Snowfall Forecast – Valid 12-22-2023 11AM

  A very complex forecast on tap for this weekend's "Christmas" storm. Models are still all over the place so we still have lower end confidence on how this thing will ultimately play out. What I'm going to do in this post is present what my thinking is, what we...

Weekly Weather Outlook – Eyeing A White Christmas? Valid 12-18-2023 12PM

First, A Note About This Week's Weather Before we get to the fun stuff, here's a look at this week's expected weather. In a sense, it's going to be warm! Near record warmth is expected across the front range of Colorado this week. Potential Christmas Storm Setup If...

Southern Storm – More Snow on the Way! – Forecast valid 12-12-2023 12PM

We're back on snowfall forecasting as a strong storm projected to move into New Mexico and Texas (both of which will see ample amounts of moisture) will also spin enough of that moisture up towards the North and into Colorado. This track is more favorable for snow...

Updated Colorado Snowfall Forecast – Valid 12-8-2023 6PM

Wanted to just update a couple of quick things as the storm starts to roll in across the area.   Winter Weather Highlights A ***Winter Storm Warning*** has been issued for Southern sections of the Palmer Divide. This mainly includes Northern areas of El Paso...

Storm and Weather Recaps

Storm and Snowfall Recap – 12-9-2023

Here's a quick recap with snowfall totals and the forecast discussion from last night's storm... Snowfall Forecast   Here's the official measurements from CoCoRahs and the NWS compared to my snowfall forecast. For the most part, snowfall estimates ended up in our...

48 Hour Storm Rainfall Totals – 05-12-2023

  In a word to describe this storm... WOW! Here's the latest CoCoRaHS reports for total rainfall over the past 48 hours and the numbers are truly impressive. Here's some notable number:   Castle Rock 5-7 inches Flooding reported High runoff of creeks and...

Storm Recap – Lots of Moisture – 04-26-2023

As our storm continues to move out late this morning and into this afternoon, wanted to take a quick recap of the storm and the forecast. I like to occasionally go back and review forecast vs actual results... the part I don't post about is going back and reviewing...

Answer to Yesterday’s Trivia Question: Why the Fog Behind the 4/19/2023 Cold Front?

I asked many folks to put on their science hats yesterday (4/19/2023) and offer some guesses why we were seeing fog with the arrival of a strong cold front. In fact, this is common with a lot of powerful cold fronts that move in to the area in the Spring, Fall and...

Storm Snowfall Totals and Forecast Review 12-28-2022 and 12-29-2022

This storm through a few curveballs, but overall behaved as predicted. Here's a quick look at the snowfall totals as of 8AM this morning and a bit of discussion around my thinking and the forecast with this storm: Note: these totals will be updated throughout the day...

May 2022 Spring Snow Storm Recap and Snow Totals

Here's a quick recap of our late Spring snow storm we experienced. Seeing such high snowfall amounts this late in May is a bit rate, but snow storms themselves are not that uncommon for this time of the year. Still, getting the snow to accumulate this much is tough;...

St Patrick’s Day Snow Storm 2022 Recap

Taking a quick look at our last snow storm and how it ended up. I've included a recap from our final snowfall forecast below, snowfall amounts were pretty spot on minus a few spots being slightly under including the Denver metro area. I usually don't sweat misses by...

3-9-22 Snow Storm Recap

Last night's storm is moving out throughout the day today with dryer and warmer weather expected for the weekend. Here's a quick look at how snow totals ended up and how the forecast verified. Not a spot on forecast but most areas were pretty close to the snowfall...

Palmer Divide Snowfall Recap Jan 25 and Jan 27 2022 Storms

The last two storms were very similar in terms of their mechanisms and as expected the first storm performed better than the second. This was due mainly to better moisture in the area upon the storms arrival, it was able to squeeze more moisture out. Both storms...

1-14-2021 Winter Storm Palmer Divide Snow Totals

So for many of us this storm went as expected, but for several folks our latest snow storm was a bit of surprise. Driving out and about myself last night, I can tell CDOT was as surprised as many meteorologists were - the roads were in pretty bad shape. Here's a look...